Pandemic, economics and multilevel policies. The cases of the provinces of Chaco and Corrientes
Keywords:
COVID-19; Economics; Policies; Chaco; Corrientes.Abstract
There are difficulties in improving in real time the understanding of the epidemiological phenomenon COVID-19, its interaction with social and economic variables, and with the appropriate public policy responses. The main objective of this work is to contribute to a betterment in the resilience capacities of the regional socioeconomic system, in the present emergency context. To do it, we adapt, integrate and extend the following conceptual and empirical frameworks: a) Socio-economic systems and models (econometric and calibrated); b) Sanitary-epidemiological (SEIR); c) Optimal social, sectoral and health policies, based on adaptations of public sector economic models; d) Criteria, both established and under current development, which identify relevant segmentations and sources of heterogeneity, based on contractual flexibility, “social” category of the activity, socioeconomic segmentation, location and size, among others, that, in turn, contribute to determining variations in costs and social benefits. The results are for practical use, such as forecasting the conditional evolution of epidemiological, social, and activity variables, as well as for determining relevant stress scenarios for the design of contingency policies. The developments correspond to the provinces of Corrientes and Chaco, which, at present, exhibit markedly different epidemiological dynamics.References
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