Pandemic, economics and multilevel policies. The cases of the provinces of Chaco and Corrientes

Authors

  • Lucas Ferrero National University of the Northeast
  • Carlos Matías Hisgen National University of the Northeast
  • Diego Ramón Álvarez National University of the Northeast

Keywords:

COVID-19; Economics; Policies; Chaco; Corrientes.

Abstract

There are difficulties in improving in real time the understanding of the epidemiological phenomenon COVID-19, its interaction with social and economic variables, and with the appropriate public policy responses. The main objective of this work is to contribute to a betterment in the resilience capacities of the regional socioeconomic system, in the present emergency context. To do it, we adapt, integrate and extend the following conceptual and empirical frameworks: a) Socio-economic systems and models (econometric and calibrated); b) Sanitary-epidemiological (SEIR); c) Optimal social, sectoral and health policies, based on adaptations of public sector economic models; d) Criteria, both established and under current development, which identify relevant segmentations and sources of heterogeneity, based on contractual flexibility, “social” category of the activity, socioeconomic segmentation, location and size, among others, that, in turn, contribute to determining variations in costs and social benefits. The results are for practical use, such as forecasting the conditional evolution of epidemiological, social, and activity variables, as well as for determining relevant stress scenarios for the design of contingency policies. The developments correspond to the provinces of Corrientes and Chaco, which, at present, exhibit markedly different epidemiological dynamics.

Author Biographies

Lucas Ferrero, National University of the Northeast

Professor of Monetary Economics and Macroeconomics II at the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the Universidad Nacional del Nordeste. Doctor in Economics (Bocconi University), Bachelor of Economics (UNNE). Interest in Political Economy and Economic Development.

Carlos Matías Hisgen, National University of the Northeast

Professor of Econometrics, JTP of Statistics II at the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the National University of the Northeast. Doctor in Statistics (University of Santiago de Compostela), Bachelor of Economics (UNNE). Interest in Applied Microeconometrics and Economic Development.

Diego Ramón Álvarez, National University of the Northeast

Professor of Mathematics for Economists at the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the National University of the Northeast. Doctor in Agricultural Economics (University of Nebraska), Bachelor of Economics (UNNE). Interest in Agrarian Economics and Economic Development.

References

Albanesi, S., R. Gihleb, J. Kim y J. Huo (2020). Household Insurance and The Macroeconomic Impact of the Novel Corona Virus. VMACS Seminar, June.

Albrieu, R. (2020). Evaluando las oportunidades y los límites del teletrabajo en Argentina en tiempos del COVID-19. CIPPEC. Programa de Desarrollo Económico.

Ariely, D. (2008). Predictably irrational. Harper Collins.

Bodenstein, M, Corsetti, G y Guerrieri, L. (2020). Social Distancing and Supply Disruptions in a Pandemic. London, Centre for Economic Policy Research. Disponible en https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=14629

Coleman, S. (2007) The Minnesota income tax compliance experiment: replication of the social norms experiment. Disponible en https://ssrn.com/abstract=1393292.

Dillard A.J., McCaul, K.D. y Klein, W.M. (2006) Unrealistic optimism in smokers: Implications for smoking myth endorsement and self-protective motivation. J Health Commun. 11(S1):93–102.

Eichenbaum, Martin S., Rebelo, S. y Trabandt, Mathias (2020). The Macroeconomics of Epidemics. NBER Working Paper No. 26882.

Ferguson, NM, D. Laydon, G. Nedjati-Gilani, N. Imai, K Ainslie, M. Baguelin, S. Bhatia, A. Boonyasiri, Z. Cucunubá, G. Cuomo-Dannenburg, and A. Dighe (2020). Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand. March 2020. Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team.

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Charles J. Jones (2020). Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities. NBER Working Paper No. 27128.

Gallagher, K.M. y Updegraff, J.A. (2012). Health Message Framing Effects on Attitudes, Intentions, and Behavior: A Meta-analytic Review. Ann. behav. med. 43, 101–116.

Glover, A., J. Heathcote, D. Krueger, and J. V. Ríos-Rull (2020). Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic. NBER Working Paper No. 27046.

John, L.K., Loewenstein, G., Troxel, A.B., Norton, L., Fassbender, J.E., Volpp, K.G. (2011) Financial incentives for extended weight loss: a randomized, controlled trial. J Gen Intern Med. 26(6):621–6.

Jordan, R. E., Adab, P., & Cheng, K. K. (2020). Covid-19: risk factors for severe disease and death.

Laibson, D. (1997) Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 112, Issue 2, May 1997, Pages 443–478.

Li, X., Xu, S., Yu, M., Wang, K., Tao, Y., Zhou, Y., … & Zhang, C. (2020). Risk factors for severity and mortality in adult COVID-19 inpatients in Wuhan. Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology.

Linnemayr, S., Stecher, C., Mukasa, B. (2017) Behavioral economic incentives to improve adherence to antiretroviral medication. AIDS (Londres, Inglaterra). 31(5):719.

Loewenstein, G., Asch, D.A., Friedman, J.Y., Melichar, L.A., Volpp, K.G. (2012) Can behavioural economics make us healthier? BMJ. 344: e3482.

Luoto, J., Carman, K.G. (2014) Behavioral economics guidelines with applications for health interventions. Washington: Inter-American Development Bank.

Malani, M., S. Soman, S. Asher, P. Novosad, C. Imbert, V. Tandel, A. Agarwal, A. Alomar, A. Sarker, D. Shah, D. Shen, J. Gruber, S. Sachdeva, D. Kaiser y L. Bettencourt (2020). Adaptive control of covid-19 outbreaks in india: local, gradual, and trigger-based exit paths from lockdown. NBER Working Paper No. 27532.

Martínez Villarreal, D., Rojas Méndez, A. M. y Scartascini, C. (2020) La economía del comportamiento puede ayudar a combatir el coronavirus. Resumen de Políticas del BID; 334. Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo.

Matjasko JL, Cawley JH, Baker-Goering MM, Yokum DV. (2016) Applying Behavioral Economics to Public Health Policy: Illustrative Examples and Promising Directions. Am J Prev Med. 50(5 Suppl 1): S13-S19.

Montenovo, L., Jiang, X., Rojas, F. L., Schmutte, I. M., Simon, K. I., Weinberg, B. A., & Wing, C. (2020). Determinants of disparities in covid-19 job losses (No. w27132). National Bureau of Economic Research.

O'Donoghue, T. y Rabin, M. (1999) Doing It Now or Later. American Economic Review, 89 (1): 103-124.

Platteau, J-P. y Verardi, V. (2020) Because culture matters, there is no one-size-fits-all strategy for exit from Covid-19 lockdowns. Disponible en: https://voxeu.org/article/culture-and-lockdown-exit-strategies

Raafat, R.M., Chater, N., Frith, C. (2009) Herding in humans. Trends Cognit Sci. 13(10):420–8.

Sannigrahi, S., Pilla, F., Basu, B., Basu, A. S., & Molter, A. (2020). Examining the association between socio-demographic composition and COVID-19 fatalities in the European region using spatial regression approach. Sustainable cities and society, 62, 102418.

Soofi, M., Najafi, F. y Karami-Matin, B. (2020). Using Insights from Behavioral Economics to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19. Appl Health Econ Health Policy 18, 345–350.

Stock, J. H. (2020). Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus. NBER Working Paper No. 26902.

Tversky A, Kahneman D. (1979) Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47(2):263–91.

Sun, Y., Hu, X., & Xie, J. (2020). Spatial inequalities of COVID-19 mortality rate in relation to socioeconomic and environmental factors across England. Science of The Total Environment, 143595.

Weinstein, N.D., Marcus, S.E., Moser, R.P. (2005) Smokers' unrealistic optimism about their risk. Tob Control. 14(1):55-59.

Published

2021-01-20

How to Cite

Ferrero, L., Hisgen, C. M. ., & Álvarez, D. R. . (2021). Pandemic, economics and multilevel policies. The cases of the provinces of Chaco and Corrientes. Scientific Journal Visión De Futuro, 25(1). Retrieved from https://revistacientifica.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/483

Similar Articles

<< < 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.